China’s economy and equity market have increasingly diverged, with new economy sectors and tech stocks outperforming, while the broader domestic economy remains stuck in a deflationary cycle.

Please join Dhaval Joshi, Chief Strategist, Counterpoint, for a Webcast on Friday, November 21, at 10:30 AM EST, 3:30 PM GMT, 4:30 PM CET. In the latest edition of this series of Webcasts, Dhaval will ...

The Q1 US GDP contraction and inflation dynamics reinforce our defensive asset allocation. GDP missed estimates and contracted -0.3% annualized, led by a sharp slowdown in net exports. Consumption ...

Job openings missed expectations at 7.44 million in September, a mild slowdown from August. The details of the JOLTS report were also negative, except for hirings which continue their June rebound.

Arthur is the Chief EM/China Strategist and also oversees the Commodity Strategy service. He is a member of BCA’s Leadership Team. He joined BCA in 1999 and has served in the Chief Strategist role ...

Dhaval is the Chief Strategist for Counterpoint, our global macro service specializing in applied investment strategy. He excels in comple- menting economic and financial analysis with real-world ...

We were stopped out of our defensive asset allocation recommendations last Thursday, when the S&P 500 closed above 6,100, but our reading of the labor market tea leaves still supports a bearish ...

A falling dollar usually eases financial conditions, but recent dollar weakness is unlikely to reverse negative growth surprises, reinforcing our call to sell risk assets on strength. Our tactical ...

The October FOMC minutes underscored deep divisions over the Fed’s next move, reinforcing expectations for a December hold but keeping the easing bias intact. The 10–2 vote for a 25 bps cut included ...

Elevated US equities valuations and their impact on returns are a hot topic right now. Valuations are not a tactical or cyclical timing tool, but they help predict long-term returns. Our Global Asset ...

Is Jerome Powell’s Job Safe?