Economic slowdowns rarely arrive on schedule, but the risk of a downturn in 2026 is already shaping how households think ...

There is a way forward, but that would require the Chancellor tearing up all her damaging fiscal policies from last year and, ...

Markets are pricing in a near-perfect 2026. But what if consensus is wrong? Here are five contrarian economic bets investors ...

TMC Research’s nowcast of recession risk continues to indicate a low probability that a downturn has started or is imminent.

Half of global retirement savers expect a recession to begin by the middle of next year, while most of the other half thinks the economy will grow. And inflation ranks as the top concern of global ...

That’s the most since 2020—but then you have to go back to 2009 to find when companies let so many workers go.

The U.S. hosts the 2026 World Cup, but data shows mega-events seldom lift GDP. Markets see a one-in-three recession risk.

Economists predicted that the United States would break free of its long-running housing slump in 2025. But the opposite happened. Even in Austin, Texas, where there are plenty of homes to buy, the ...

The National Bureau of Economic Research (NBER) defines a recession as a “significant decline in economic activity that is spread across the economy, lasting more than a few months.” Three criteria – ...