TMC Research’s nowcast of recession risk continues to indicate a low probability that a downturn has started or is imminent.

Half of global retirement savers expect a recession to begin by the middle of next year, while most of the other half thinks the economy will grow. And inflation ranks as the top concern of global ...

That’s the most since 2020—but then you have to go back to 2009 to find when companies let so many workers go.

The U.S. hosts the 2026 World Cup, but data shows mega-events seldom lift GDP. Markets see a one-in-three recession risk.

A sizable minority at the Fed think the central bank should keep its focus on inflation. They note that weekly claims for state unemployment insurance, a sign of layoffs in the economy, have stayed ...

The headline numbers say the United States is still growing, yet daily life feels like a grind of higher prices, fragile jobs ...

As Finance Minister Nirmala Sitharaman prepares to present the Union Budget for FY26, the concept of a "growth recession" is gaining prominence. This economic phase, characterised by sluggish GDP ...

A trend in the stock market shows investors are betting on continued US growth, one firm says. Historically, an increase in defensive valuations has preceded a recession, but that's not happening.

There’s an old joke in economics that stock markets have predicted nine out of the past five recessions. The point being that predicting a recession solely based on the stock market is difficult.

Top White House trade adviser Peter Navarro on Monday “guaranteed” that the US will not plunge into a recession under President Trump and claimed there would be no inflation despite ongoing fallout ...

A surge in bettors are predicting a recession in the U.S. this year, with odds rising to at least 62% on Monday as the Trump administration doubled down on its sweeping tariff policies that have sent ...