The next downturn is no longer a distant abstraction. Economic gauges are flashing warning colors, corporate layoff announcements are piling up, and the safety nets that cushioned the last crisis look ...

A new forecast from Gov. Ned Lamont’s administration projects a moderate downturn wouldn’t drain state reserves for two and a ...

Goldman Sachs slashed its recession forecast not long after raising the chance of a downturn. The bank walked back its forecasts Wednesday an hour after Trump paused most of his tariffs. The bank now ...

The Bay Area's tremendous six-year economic boom is winding down and the region will almost certainly slip into a recession within the next 12 months, according to a widely watched forecast issued ...

University of Hawaiʻi Economic Research Organization’s Hawaiʻi reports that its fourth-quarter forecast for 2025 shows the ...

An inverted rate yield curve – that is, a long-term interest rate that falls to or below the short-term interest rate – seems to have a track record of predicting recessions. The question of leading ...

Goldman Sachs reversed its recession forecast just moments after President Donald Trump announced a 90-day pause on his “Liberation Day” tariffs. The investment giant had raised its recession outlook ...

JPMorgan trimmed its forecast for the probability of the U.S. economy entering a recession this year after President Donald Trump reached a deal to temporarily lower the tariffs he imposed on imported ...

Goldman Sachs rescinded their recession base case within a few hours. Right below 1 p.m., its economists wrote that they expected to change their forecast for the U.S. economy to a recession if the ...