Confessions first: I’m actually not predicting a recession in 2020. Everybody knows that it is impossible to forecast the ups and downs of the business cycle several years ahead. Even six to 12 months ...

What is a recession? What are the key indicators of a recession? How do government and central banks respond to recessions? What are the causes of recessions? How can individuals and businesses ...

U.S. consumers have taken a decidedly negative economic outlook, as a majority think the nation already is in recession and worry about high prices on essential goods and services, according to the ...

While Fed monetary policy has so far managed to tame post-pandemic inflation without precipitating a recession, there is growing concern among some economists that planned tariffs and mass ...

Nonfarm employment is currently 0.00% off its all-time high (data through April 2025). Industrial production is currently 0.26% off its all-time high from February 2025 (data through April 2025). Real ...

Just 20 days ago, the US stock market was sitting at all-time highs. The US economy appeared to be growing at a solid pace. And a recession was nowhere in sight. Now, the R-word is seemingly ...

Let’s say you’re an armchair economist and you think the U.S. economy is already in a recession (as many people do). Or maybe you’re sure it’s still growing. Either way, you would love to serve on the ...

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November layoffs dropped 53% from last month but rose 24% yearly, pushing 2025 job cuts to levels not seen since COVID-19 ...