Representative Jasmine Crockett, Texas Democrat, holds a sizable lead over Texas state Representative James Talarico, also a Democrat, in the most recent poll of likely primary voters in the 2026 Senate race.

So, as Crockett reaches for the brass ring of the Democratic nomination for U.S. Senate, it’s time for me to pivot from my usual criticism of her latest rant to evaluating whether she is going to face...